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WOW! Quebec Election results

edit Little Tobacco 2007-03-27 03:36 UTC add comment  ·  ·  ·

The pundits didn't predict it and while the pollsters were on the vote share, no one was calling for this result in the Quebec election:

Overall Election Results
PartyElectedLeadingTotalVote Share
LIB4604632.82%
ADQ4204230.98%
PQ3703728.39%
QS0003.67%
GRN0003.90%
OTH000.25%
 

And Charest lost his seat to some unknown separtist? Who would have thunk?
Wait a minute, before i even hit the post button, bang! the Advance polls pull Charest out of the fire and give the Premier his seat... or so it seems:
 
DISTRICT: SHERBROOKE
CandidatePartyVote CountVote ShareElected
Jean CharestLIB1221735.42%
Claude ForguesPQ1153833.46%
Michel DumontADQ624418.11%
Christian BibeauQS22206.44%
Steve DuboisGRN21566.25%
Hubert RichardIND1120.32%
March 26, 11:30:03 PM EDT 187 of 212 polls reporting
(Via cbc.ca)
 I was going to comment on how Charest was going to play all of this, but now things have changed and he is going to talk about the message sent by Quebecers to the government and working with all parties, and so on and so forth. (Unless the remaining 25 polls that remain uncounted reverse the result again)
Of course there are so many close ridings and recounts to come that the following updated results are not written in stone:
Overall Election Results
PartyElectedLeadingTotalVote Share
LIB4614732.94%
ADQ4204230.89%
PQ3603628.37%
QS0003.66%
GRN0003.89%
OTH000.25%
Once again, wow.

3 move from Dion to Iggy

edit Little Tobacco 2006-11-24 18:15 UTC add comment  ·  ·  ·  ·

Now that it's been said, it had better happen for Iggy's sake:

 Ignatieff organizer and Liberal MP Denis Coderre (Bourassa) said there are "dozens" more officials who will announce they are switching allegiances in the coming days.

Nothing kills the mojo like no one showing up.

With that said, it is an interesting development and may offer some insight as to the direction the Liberal Leadership is heading. In the dirty world of politics it is much better to back a winner than a loser and if the tea leaves...or the ex officio votes ...  are reading Ignatieff, the earlier you jump to that ship the better.

Spring Election? The press think so.

edit Little Tobacco 2006-10-27 19:48 UTC add comment  ·  ·  ·  ·  ·

Chantel Hebert reports on the upcoming spring election and the moribound Parliament:

It may not look that way from a distance, but the minority government of Prime Minister Stephen Harper is moribund. While the Conservatives have not formally lost the confidence of the House of Commons, they can no longer muster enough opposition support to pass their agenda into law.

As a result, this Parliament is now basically killing time until another election. That does not mean the Prime Minister can't govern, at least up to a point. Harper can continue to make nominations; he can speak on behalf of Canada on the international stage; he can tour the country to unveil various policies as he did over the recent parliamentary break.

Except that every initiative he announced that week is unlikely to become law in the current Parliament. Neither is the bulk of the Conservative agenda.

The Star continues with Susan Delacourt:

OTTAWA—The script for the next election campaign was begun in earnest this week on Parliament Hill, and it's an angry one.

Though an election is likely months away, politicians seem to be spoiling for the battle.

Prime Minister Stephen Harper and the Conservatives have begun laying down the planks for their battle against the Liberal-dominated Senate.

The work of Parliament, meanwhile, is getting caught up in delay tactics and opposition efforts to gut Tory initiatives on everything from law and order to the environment.

The Conservative honeymoon is now officially over, it appears, and the ground is starting to be prepared for an election that could come early in 2007, after the Liberals have a new leader and the Tories have delivered another budget.

Conservatives are expected to blame Liberal senators for anything they aren't able to accomplish in their minority government. Yesterday, the Liberal Senate was under attack for holding up the Tories' clean-up-government bill, the legislation known as the accountability act.

A Senate committee has recommended a raft of changes to the massive bill, which means it has to go back to the Commons for more review, possibly weeks of it, before it becomes law.

Harper said yesterday: "The behaviour of the Liberal party is arrogant and anti-democratic. And that's really the problem: They haven't accepted the decision of the electorate."

In the Globe and Mail:

OTTAWA -- Canada's political parties began road-testing potential election attack and defence strategies yesterday in the wake of a legislative slowdown that has hit Parliament just nine months after the election of the Conservative minority government.

Prime Minister Stephen Harper painted the opposition as obstructing his party's legislative agenda, while the Liberals tried to portray the Prime Minister as weak and unable to force through his agenda. They leaned on the Tories to compromise on key legislation such as the Accountability Act, justice measures and new environmental rules.

At a news conference yesterday, Mr. Harper castigated the Liberal-dominated Senate for proposing amendments to the Accountability Act. "The behaviour of the Liberal Party is arrogant and anti-democratic," Mr. Harper told reporters after a meeting with Mexican president-elect Felipe Calderon. "That's really the problem. They haven't accepted the decision of the electorate."

The Tories hope to win a majority government by demonstrating that the Liberals won't allow the passage of legislation that Canadians want.

And this CP story in the Globe & Mail online:

Canadian Press

Oakville, Ont. — Prime Minister Stephen Harper says opposition parties should stop dragging their feet on an accountability bill and stop trying to water down legislation the Conservatives introduced to get tough on crime.

Speaking to the Oakville Chamber of Commerce, Mr. Harper said Friday if the opposition parties don't like his government's measures, “they can force an election any time.”

“If the opposition disagrees with us, they should do it in the open, not in some committee meeting, not in the unelected senate, not by endlessly stalling a democratic vote,” he said.

Mr. Harper said the three opposition parties supported cracking down on crime during the election, yet are now back pedalling and stalling a bill, introduced in May, designed to do away with house arrest for serious crimes and impose mandatory prison sentences for gun crimes.

The spring election seems ineveitable and i would not bet against it, but in political time, the spring is so far in the future as to be science fiction.